Even before the selection process, Jimmy Mac was a little leery.
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The 64-team NCAA volleyball tournament field will be announced Sunday at 3 p.m. (ESPNU), and Washington coach Jim McLaughlin awaits its unveiling with a mix of hope and dread.
Will the Huskies (23-7, tied for fourth the Pac-12 at 15-7) be seeded as one of the tournament's top 16 teams? Or will the selection committee deem UW unworthy of its No. 11 ranking in the latest coaches poll?
The answer is important, because this year the NCAA has mandated that all 16 seeded teams will host first- and second-round matches. In recent years geography mattered more; having another invitee within driving distance boosted a school's chances of hosting.
Washington ranked 13th last season at the end of the regular season but was unseeded in the tournament for the first time in eight years. Even so, UW defeated the No. 15 and No. 2 seeds and advanced to the Elite Eight.
"It's hocus-pocus," McLaughlin said of the selection process.
"We need some people who understand the game that can go into that room, like the NCAA basketball (tournament), and say, 'This team is a good team.' I think we are. But, I'm also the coach at Washington."
In UW's favor this year: its No. 11 ranking, its Pac-12 membership (in 30 years the conference has produced 13 NCAA champions and 15 runners-up) and its reliable fan base (UW averaged 2,553 per match this season and ranked 10th in the latest NCAA attendance tally).
Hurting the Huskies: ranking 30th in the NCAA's RPI, or ratings percentage index, a hard-to-decipher gauge of competitiveness based on the winning percentages of 1) the team, 2) its opponents and 3) its opponents' opponents.
Ahead of UW in the latest RPI: mid-majors such as Northern Iowa (No. 6), Northern Illinois (No. 17) and Western Kentucky (No. 21). Meanwhile USC, No. 1 in the coaches' poll, ranks just No. 9 in the RPI. Six Pac-12 teams rank among the coaches' top 13 picks; in RPI, just three make the top 16.
"The RPI is a joke," McLaughlin said. "I think we're one of the top 10 teams in the country. I looked at some of the teams in the top 10 and there's no way you can logically look at it and say this schedule is stronger than this schedule."
In 2010, RPI apparently played a big role in determining seeds.
At 30-2, Northern Iowa (Missouri Valley Conference) was made a No. 5 seed while UW, at 21-8, was unseeded. The Huskies advanced to the Elite Eight; Northern Iowa was eliminated in the first round.
"If they're going to use RPI, tell us how to use the tool," McLaughlin said. "Do we go to the East Coast to play those teams?
"What if we don't have the money? How do we do it?
"It's got to be fair for the teams. The teams that develop and produce over the course of the year — and volleyball people know who they are — they should be rewarded. That's the whole deal for seeding. Seeding rewards people."